Question 1
15 marks
Mean temperature of Earth: two linear models and their limits
- Calculus
(a)
2 marks
Gradient through and .
(b)
2 marks
The gradient is the rate at which the mean annual temperature rises: it increases by 0.00288 degrees each year.
(c)
2 marks
Use the point .
(d)
2 marks
Substitute .
(e)
3 marks
Use linear regression of on on the seven points.
(f)
2 marks
Substitute .
(g)
2 marks
- The model predicts a year far in the future (about the year 4100), well outside the range of the data (1708 to 2008), so it is extrapolation and may not be valid.
- The data are not exactly linear and the correlation is not perfect, so the temperature may not keep rising at a constant rate, and other factors may change.

