Question 1
6 marks
Binomial model for a set of biased coins
- Statistics and probability
(a)
2 marks
- Let be the number of heads. Each of the 12 coins is independent with the same chance of heads, so .
- Use the binomial probability function on your GDC for .
Mentor tip
Check which outcome the 0.73 belongs to before typing it in. Here it is heads, which is exactly what counts.
(b)
2 marks
- More heads than tails out of 12 means at least 7 heads.
- Use the cumulative binomial function: .
Another way. Count tails instead: with you need , which gives the same value.
Mentor tip
Six heads is a tie, not a win for heads. Starting the count at 6 is the classic slip here.
(c)
2 marks
Each trial is a success with probability from part (b), so the expected count over 49 trials is .
Mentor tip
Carry the unrounded value from (b) into the multiplication so your final answer does not drift.

