Question 1
28 marks
Comparing two schools: samples, t-tests, correlation and school value added
- Statistics and probability
(a)(i)
1 mark
A larger sample is more likely to be representative of the school, and gives results with less sampling error.
(a)(ii)
1 mark
A larger sample means more interviews, so it takes more time and costs more.
(b)
2 marks
Enter the six results from school A.
(c)
1 mark
The standard deviation of 7.60 is only from a sample of six students. It is an estimate, and the spread of results in the whole school could be bigger than the spread in school B even though this sample shows less.
(d)(i)
1 mark
A pooled -test needs the two population variances to be equal.
(d)(ii)
2 marks
The sample standard deviations are 7.60 and 7.66, which are very close, so it is plausible that the population variances are equal. Augustin can use a pooled -test.
(e)(i)
2 marks
Let and be the population mean results of the two schools. Augustin believed school B was higher.
(e)(ii)
2 marks
Use a one-tailed pooled two-sample -test with means 51.7 and 60, standard deviations 7.60 and 7.66 and sample sizes 6 and 6.
(e)(iii)
2 marks
Since , reject . There is significant evidence that the population mean result of school B is higher than that of school A.
(f)(i)
4 marks
- : and : , where is the population correlation between entry exam and final exam results.
- Since , reject . There is significant evidence of a correlation between the entry exam and final exam results.
(f)(ii)
1 mark
If the requirements (such as both variables being normally distributed) were not met, Augustin could use Spearman's rank correlation coefficient.
(g)
1 mark
Every extra mark in the entry exam increases the model's predicted final exam result by 0.37 marks.
(h)(i)
2 marks
- The model predicts for student 10003 (with entry result 38.7):
- The school value added is .
(h)(ii)
4 marks
- Let and be the population mean school value added.
- Run a one-tailed pooled two-sample -test on the two lists of values.
- Since , reject . There is evidence that school A has a higher mean school value added than school B.
(i)
2 marks
School A can claim it is doing better because its students have a higher value added, as the test in part (h) shows. School B can claim it is doing better because its students have a higher mean final exam result, as the test in part (e) shows.

